ScottishPower Shelves UK Hydrogen Projects Despite Β£241/MWh Subsidies
The Shock Announcement: Major Player Exits Despite Government Support
On September 2, 2025, ScottishPower delivered a significant blow to the UK's hydrogen ambitions by announcing the suspension of its flagship green hydrogen projects at Whitelee and Cromarty. This decision comes despite the company having secured coveted subsidies in the first Hydrogen Allocation Round (HAR1), marking a watershed moment in the UK's hydrogen journey:
[cite author="Fuel Cells Works" source="September 2, 2025"]ScottishPower announced it was halting its flagship green hydrogen projects at Whitelee and Cromarty. These ventures had secured hydrogen subsidies in the first Hydrogen Allocation Round (HAR1), yet never firmed up an investment decision or drew down any public funds.[/cite]
The scale of these suspended projects underscores the magnitude of the setback. The Whitelee project, with a capacity of 7.1 MW, was intended to supply the transport and industry sectors in Scotland, while the 10.6MW Cromarty Hydrogen development with Storegga aimed to serve whisky distilleries - a quintessentially Scottish market that seemed ideal for green hydrogen adoption.
Economic Reality Check: When Subsidies Aren't Enough
The financial mathematics that led to ScottishPower's decision reveal fundamental challenges in the hydrogen economy. Despite securing generous subsidies, the economics simply didn't work:
[cite author="Hydrogen Insight" source="September 2, 2025"]ScottishPower had signed subsidy agreements for both projects, with tariffs of GBP188.56/MWh for Whitelee and GBP214.27/MWh for Cromarty.[/cite]
To understand the significance, these tariffs translate to approximately Β£9.50 per kilogram of hydrogen - yet even this level of support couldn't make the projects viable. The company cited multiple structural challenges that subsidies alone couldn't overcome:
[cite author="S&P Global" source="September 2, 2025"]ScottishPower cited high production costs, with electrolytic hydrogen still costing more than fossil-derived gas even with hydrogen subsidies secured at around Β£241/MWh. Weak demand signals meant promised offtake agreements and big industrial buyers never materialised at scale.[/cite]
The Demand Dilemma: Building Supply Without Buyers
The chicken-and-egg problem of hydrogen infrastructure has never been more starkly illustrated. ScottishPower's experience reveals a critical gap between policy ambition and market reality:
[cite author="Iberdrola Spokesperson" source="Energy News, September 2, 2025"]This pause underscores the need for robust and predictable frameworks to support green hydrogen projects at scale. Policy unpredictability and slowroll on support measures has left investors feeling uneasy.[/cite]
The promised industrial offtakers - from transport companies to distilleries - failed to materialize with firm contracts. This reflects a broader challenge: while government sets ambitious hydrogen targets, actual demand from end-users remains tentative, with many potential buyers adopting a wait-and-see approach.
HAR1 Programme Impact: Success Stories Amid Setbacks
Despite ScottishPower's withdrawal, the HAR1 programme shows mixed results with some projects proceeding:
[cite author="H2 View" source="September 3, 2025"]The HAR1 programme, launched in December 2024, awarded subsidies to 11 projects totalling 125 MW, with an average guaranteed price of GBP241/MWh. Ten of the eleven HAR1 projects have now signed their funding contracts, with HyMarnham Power beginning production in July with an initial volume of 8 tonnes per week, expected to reach 30 tonnes weekly by October.[/cite]
This contrast highlights that while some smaller, more focused projects can succeed, larger utility-scale ventures face greater challenges. The HyMarnham Power success - producing actual hydrogen for real customers - demonstrates that targeted, right-sized projects with secured offtake agreements can work.
Government Response: No Redistribution of Funds
The government's response to ScottishPower's withdrawal sends its own signal about the hydrogen market's maturity:
[cite author="DESNZ Official" source="H2 View, September 3, 2025"]Following ScottishPower's withdrawal, the support originally earmarked for the schemes will not be redistributed to other developers.[/cite]
This decision not to reallocate the funds suggests either a lack of ready alternative projects or a need to reassess the entire support mechanism. It represents approximately Β£50 million in unutilized support that could have accelerated other hydrogen initiatives.
European Context: UK Not Alone in Hydrogen Struggles
ScottishPower's decision reflects a broader European pattern of hydrogen project cancellations:
[cite author="Energy News Pro" source="September 2, 2025"]ScottishPower's decision reflects a broader European pattern, with companies like Repsol, Statkraft, Fertiberia, Neste, and ArcelorMittal also halting or abandoning hydrogen projects due to economic challenges.[/cite]
This pan-European trend suggests systemic issues with green hydrogen economics rather than UK-specific problems. Major industrial players across the continent are reassessing hydrogen investments, indicating that the challenge transcends national borders and policy frameworks.
Implications for UK Hydrogen Strategy
The ScottishPower withdrawal forces a reckoning with the UK's hydrogen ambitions. With a major utility player stepping back despite government support, questions arise about the viability of the UK's target to achieve 10GW of hydrogen production capacity by 2030:
[cite author="QC Intel" source="September 3, 2025"]This withdrawal marks a significant moment for the UK hydrogen sector, as one of the country's largest renewable energy developers steps back from hydrogen despite having secured government backing, raising questions about the economic viability of green hydrogen projects even with substantial subsidies.[/cite]
Looking Forward: Lessons for HAR2 and Beyond
As the UK progresses with HAR2, which received massive oversubscription with 27 projects selected from many more applicants, the ScottishPower experience offers crucial lessons:
1. Demand certainty is paramount - Projects need firm offtake agreements before investment decisions
2. Right-sizing matters - Smaller, targeted projects may succeed where larger ventures fail
3. Subsidy levels may need reassessment - Current support levels may be insufficient to bridge the economic gap
4. Infrastructure coordination is critical - Production facilities need synchronized development with transport and storage
The UK government's commitment of over Β£500 million for hydrogen infrastructure development through 2026 remains in place, but ScottishPower's exit suggests that money alone won't solve the hydrogen puzzle. The focus must shift to creating genuine demand pull rather than relying solely on supply push strategies.